We’re at the mid-point of the year, so I figure it’s a good time to give an update on where I stand with the budget. The format will mostly follow that of the year-end reports with fewer graphs because analyzing only six months’ worth of data isn’t as interesting for certain categories.
Exchange Rate Trends
First off, let’s see how the US dollar has fared against the Japanese yen in 2012.
The dollar had a nice run against the yen during the month of February and most of March before falling back in the direction of the late 2011 funk. We’re still doing better than six months ago, but I’m not really seeing a positive, mostly upward trend that I was hoping the February run would signal.
2011 Final Numbers
With the arrival of Alter’s goth-punk Louise, all open orders from 2011 are now closed, which means I can provide actual figures for each transaction where I might have had estimates previously.
Here are the values that changed since the 2011 year-end report.
The uptick in the USD/JPY exchange rate during the first half helped most of my open preorders come in lower than anticipated, with Neris being the lone exception due to an unexpected bump from SAL to EMS shipping. The net result is that I get a small amount more to play with for the remainder of the year.
And here is the full table with all final values.
I won’t post updated graphs of any of the other charts in the year-end report because none of them were affected by the price shifts noted above.
2012 First Half Numbers
As you may recall, I’m splitting the budget for this year into two parts: a preorder-only portion based on a monthly rolling budget and general purpose portion based on a lump sum allocation. I will be addressing each individually.
Here’s the transaction log and progression so far for the preorder portion of the budget.
Nothing too surprising here. I tend to use funds as they become available, so you see that the debits trend line closely follows the credits line. The magnitude of the prices are notable, but I’ll cover that point separately in a moment.
Lump Sum Analysis
Here’s the transaction log and progression graph from the lump sum side.
That didn’t last long, did it? I used about 60% of the lump sum budget in January alone on secondary market purchases. I definitely don’t regret picking up Ryofu–she’s an awesome figure–but GSC is reissuing Saber, so I now know I could have saved a little if I had waited for the re-release. Another 35% was used toward a couple preorders for which I didn’t have money in the main preorder budget at the time.
I’m hoping to sell a few older figures from my collection to bolster the lump sum budget a bit in the second half.
I won’t get into the fully set of analysis I typically do for the year-end reports, but I did see some interesting trends with pricing in the first half, so let’s look at that breakdown now. I noticed an interesting distribution of orders right around the $150 mark, so I decided to forgo the usual $25 ranges from prior year-end reports.
Last year, only 2 of 13 (~15%) of figures purchased fell into the $140+ range versus 80% from the first half of this year.
While figure prices subjectively seem to be trending upward, I would chalk this rather dramatic shift up more to spending patterns than an indication of where the broader figure market is at, currently. I had four exclusives (up from one last year), which are by their nature more expensive than most normal releases, plus two pricey secondary market pick-ups (versus one in 2011). I honestly thought it a bit of a reach when I budgeted extra for three exclusives this year and yet I somehow managed to exceed that many in the first half alone.
That’s it! Check back at the end of the year for the full year-end report.
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